Hurts went to the Philadelphia Eagles as a second-round pick in 2020 and traded up to grab Smith at No. [20] In the following game, against Georgia, he had 11 receptions for 167 receiving yards and two receiving touchdowns in the 4124 victory. Yeah, this is the problem with pretending Sam Darnold and Lamar Jackson play the same position. Stafford was the week's worst passer in the second quarter, when he went 4-of-7 for 24 yards, with more sacks (two) and interceptions (also two, including a pick-six) than first downs (one). [10] As a sophomore in 2018, Smith had 42 receptions for 693 yards and six touchdowns in 13 games. Yeah, that game's the start of what I was looking for - noticeably faster decision-making from Fields (still slow, though, but looking a lot more like just an NFL rookie). Marvin Harrison [an Indianapolis Colts Hall of Famer] was 179 pounds coming out of Syracuse. The OLcommunicationlooks a ton better, though, but it looks more like Fields is just more confident in what he's seeing. All three of them (and 39 of the 45 yards) came in the fourth quarter, but then so did the interception. The Eagles won the game 317. Herbert threw a league-high 11 failed completions against Philadelphia, but that didn't stop him from being the best passer on throws to tight ends. Stroud Falls to Colts in GTM's Final Mock Draft, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets: Low Floor, Low Ceiling, QBASE 2023: Why Bryce Young Tops C.J. Yes, JaMarr Chase is over a year younger and dominated with 1,780 yards, 21.2 yards per reception, and 20 touchdowns as a sophomore in 2019, but what Smith did Prescott had the league's best DYAR on throws to his left, going 13-of-20 for 162 yards and a touchdown. In the Mississippi State game, he hauled in 11 catches for 203 yards and four touchdowns. Then Chase caught three of nine targets for 32 yards in the upset loss to the Jets, followed by a six-of-13-for-49-yard performance in a blowout against the Browns. Smith is on pace to finish with 164 DYAR and a 5.3% DVOA. So you're saying that Lamar ran for 7 first downs but also ran 14 other times where he didn't get a first down. If and when he plays for a functional offense, that will open up the deep routes, which in turn will create YAC opportunities underneath. [4], As a true freshman at Alabama in 2017, Smith had eight receptions for 160 yards and three touchdowns in eight games. He took a lot of hits and stayed healthy. The oline makes it impossible to evaluate the rest of the team. Jalen Hurts, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews). He was uncoverable against top competition. This is a big part of why so many of us have turned on Zimmer. Lawrence joined the list of first overall picks, and Etienne heard his name called 25th. This is where I think it comes back to Zimmer (via Klint), Vikings fans have absolutely hated their uber-conservative playcalling approach with leads. His magic passing range came on throws to receivers 8 to 15 yards beyond the line of scrimmage. "Ja'Marr Chase (hip) not expected to play against the Browns". NFL. Retrieved November 5, 2022. ^ Simmons, Myles (October 16, 2022). "Ja'Marr Chase leads Bengals to 30-26 comeback victory against the Saints". NBC Sports: Pro Football Talk. Retrieved November 5, 2022. ^ "Ja'Marr Chase 2022 Game Log". Has DeVonta Smith Topped Ja'Marr Chase as Top Rookie WR? Only three of those completions picked up first downs, and none of those conversions came in the second half. One team that makes a lot of sense for Ja'Marr Chase is the Cincinnati Bengals. College: LSU (College Stats) Looking at Jackson's career, and weighing 2020 and 2021 more heavily Jackson is a mediocre QB, a one year wonder by DYAR/DVOA. "If Tua is your QB moving forward, it would probably be DeVonta because of the familiarity. Five were taken in the first round, the other in the second. What's the point? Regardless, we're counting Pitts as a tight end, and he's a fine one. I'd be interested to see what kind of DYAR that produces for an RB because it seems like a highly productive day for a primary ball carrier. ", Dolphins coach Brian Flores addressed Smith's size at the Senior Bowl, saying, "you can nitpick all you want about a guy's size, but good players are good players are good players. His 175-pound frame is the big question. Oh, how things have turned around for Chase. Still, you'd expect to see much more polished play from Love at this point. Free and Easy-to-Use Mock Draft Simulator. Support Football Outsiders' independent media and Vincent Verhei. Could Stetson Bennett Be the Next Brock Purdy? In reply to DYAR says that Kirk Cousins by andrew. The WRs have been injured or failing to bounce back from injuries. That includes this play against the Raiders, which is about as big a failure of a failed reception you'll ever see: That's 2 and the ball @show_case29 was all over that for the safety.#MIAvsLV | Live on CBS pic.twitter.com/H4AbJkxw6b, Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) September 26, 2021, Waddle is currently averaging more than 6.0 catches per game but less than 9.0 yards per catch. [45] He was the third wide receiver taken in the draft after Ja'Marr Chase and Jaylen Waddle. That's bizarre. ", "He's over 6-feet tall, 175 pounds. To be losing by so much, he must play poorly when the game is even to start. I think he has a chance to develop into an All-Pro guy. Before you start talking about how skinny this guy might be, you dont get a nickname out there like Slim Reaper unless youre out there killing DBs. Darnold was the week's worst passer in lots of categoriesthrows to wide receivers, throws to tight ends, throws to the outside, throws in the fourth quarter. 4. Going into Monday Night Football this week, he is eighth at the position in receptions and third in yards. Both of them hopped more experienced players on the depth chart as true freshmen. Speaking of flying under the radar, how many of you realized that Toney had a better DVOA than either Chase or Smith? In reply to Correct. (In first place: Dallas' Dalton Schultz, Pitts' beanpole peer.). Jackson was the best passer this week in the red zone, going 6-of-7 for 28 yards with three touchdowns. Smith, the Heisman Trophy winner, excels with unique quickness, acceleration, route running and has a knack for separating and making plays. In reply to Defence gets you by HitchikersPie. "DeVonta is a great football player. Chase, who opted out of the 2020 season but was college football's best wide receiver in 2019, excels with strength, body control, technique, route running and in tight-window situations. Get info about his position, age, height, weight, college, draft, and more on Pro-football-reference.com. So why does he rank this high instead of near the bottom? "Ja'Marr is the best WR in this class and would've been the best in 2020 draft as well," the scout said. And that number is skewed by the five deep balls he has seenhis median depth of target is 1.5 yards behind the line of scrimmage. In terms of weight, what are we talking about here?". There is a slight asterisk here, but it's a reasonable one. Waddle was the nation's most dangerous player after the catch at Tuscaloosa, but he has learned that NFL defenders are much faster than those in college football (yes, even in the SEC). Steelers, Rams Set Offensive Line Continuity Records, XFL Week 7 Preview: St. Louis, Houston Scrap for Second, Most Overvalued Players in a 2023 Fantasy Football Draft, Rams Limp to the Front of 2022's DVOA Underachievers, XFL Week 6 Review: D.C. He compiled more receiving yards and touchdowns in 2019 than Jefferson, the top rookie in He was magical," Tannenbaum said. Lamar, Kyler Murray, and Jalen Hurts (well, at least up until now) aren't actually playing the same positions as Kirk Cousins. Only 11 wideouts have ever finished their first seasons with 50-plus targets and single-digit DYAR. I'm a lefty and when I play football with friends they say there's a "different spin" on the ball. There probably is some talent on this offensive roster, but I have no idea how to evaluate it because there just isn't enough good tape to evaluate it. [50] Smith had a solid rookie season for the Eagles, as he recorded 64 receptions for 916 yards and five touchdowns. Not to mention last year's NE/KC shitshow where his crew stole a fumble recovery from the Pats. [28] In the College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Rose Bowl Game, he had seven receptions for 130 receiving yards and three receiving touchdowns in the 3114 victory. From the point Atlanta went up 24-6 in the fourth quarter till the end of the game, Siemian went 11-of-15 for 111 yards and two touchdowns, plus a 27-yard DPI. [32], Smith became the first wide receiver to win the AP Player of the Year award since its inception in 1998. He finished with 31 catches, 396 yards and one touchdown, averaging 12.8 yards per catch. DeVonta's quickness, acceleration off the line and out of his break was on another level. This has existed forever, all the way back to the beginnings of FO when people were like "if Dallas Clark lines up like a WR every play, puts up stats like a WR every play, is he really a tight end?" 2021 NFL draft coverage All 259 picks | Every team's class It means that Chase is getting gobs of volumehe's on pace for 138 targets, more than any rookie since Kelvin Benjamin in 2014. With the heavy burden of those adjustments, he finished worst in DYAR on throws to running backs (9-of-12 for 61 yards with an interception), throws down the middle (8-of-13 for 77 yards with an interception), and in the third quarter (6-of-10 for 64 yards with two interceptions and a sack). He's super smart. The last to do it was Marquez Valdes-Scandling in 2018, and he turned out alright. Not sure what his 40 is, but he closes cushion and consistently gets behind the defense. Only five of Lawrence's completions against Buffalo gained first downs, and he was successful on a league-worst 31% of his dropbacks. 3rd and 2: 6 yds (FD) But the Ravens didnt get any turnovers (or sacks as already mentioned)? Remember when AJ Green came in? Already, pundits and fans alike are debating whos the better option: LSUs JaMarr Chase or Alabamas DeVonta Smith? Jackson's splits will also be interesting, as he must be great when losing, having led the team to massive comebacks 3 times. Smith and Chase are 1 and 1A for Kiper. Though Tannenbaum prefers Chase, he also compares Smith to Harrison, who was uncoverable when Tannenbaum was the New York Jets' general manager. They weren't a super bowl team in 2020, but they were at least watchable. According to thedraftnetwork.com, Ja'Marr Chase is the number one wide receiver prospect. Devonta Smith has put together a senior season that may not be repeated for long time. His 175-pound frame is the big question. Why are there only 31 picks in Round 1 of the 2023 NFL draft? [46], He signed a four-year rookie contract, worth $20.1 million, on June 3, 2021. Personally I think there's an argument to be made to scrap splitting pass/runs entirely for QBs. Now, DeVonta had the better body of work. But he was stuffed just twice while rushing for five first downs, including a 13-yard touchdown and a gain of 35. In reply to I think their is some talent on the offensive roster by johonny. ESPN analyst Louis Riddick is a big proponent of Chase as a WR1, saying, "If/when Ja'Marr Chase runs that 4.45 or less in the 40 [-yard dash] this spring, go ahead and send him straight to Miami. 1st and 10: 10 yds (FD) [39][40][41][42], Smith was selected by the Philadelphia Eagles with the tenth overall selection in the 2021 NFL Draft, who had traded up two spots with the Dallas Cowboys to select him. Just a complete failure. My dude had 65 catches, over 1,000 yards right out of the gate that led all rookies, and the same draft that had Julio Jones. Very natural and strong! Sure, it doesn't happen with immense regularity. Smith vs. Chase is a spicy debate, so we enlisted three different perspectives -- ESPN draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr., ESPN front office insider Mike Tannenbaum and an NFL scout to break it down. Not building the coaching staff (Flores fires a set number of people every season from his staff like he's a dot.com company) and the future cap saving from cutting vets means nothing if your young coaches can't allow you to evaluate how to best spend it. Many think his height wont be something that hinders him, including former NFL wide receiver. Robert Woods did it too, in 2013. Offhand I'd guess most teams would be better with a lead, where the defense has to take chances. He played college football at He was just starting to warm up, too. This is now the worst game for any quarterback this season. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams but he ran for a half-dozen first downs, five of them on runs of 10 yards or more, including a 22-yard gain on second-and-7 and a 70-yard touchdown on second-and-10. It appears the consensus top two pass catchers are JaMarr Chase out of LSU and Devonta Smith from Alabama. He was magical," Tannenbaum said. And now, three related facts about Colt McCoy: 1) His average pass this week traveled a league-low 2.0 yards beyond the line of scrimmage. Devonta Smith's senior season at Alabama was the deciding factor in him being selected before Ja'Marr Chase. 7 overall to the Detroit Lions. Yeah, never mindHurts' average pass traveled a league-high 12.1 yards beyond the line of scrimmage. Did Pats make Mac Jones happy? Who will have the best rookie year in the NFL? Their four wide receivers are going to be first round picks over two years and he's been the most consistent throughout his career. Eleven Warriors recently did a write up comparing this season's Ohio State offense versus the two with Justin Fields. Both will be good rookies.". 1st and 10: 3 yds They played key roles in Philly winning the NFC in 2022, led by Hurts finishing as the MVP runner-up and Smith racking up 95 catches for 1,196 yards. Ja'Marr Chase, LSU. "Smith has historic change-of-direction, his ability to run routes and create separation, his hands are exceptional, he makes very tight-window catches. Chase is the ultimate playmaker and he seems to be overshadowed by Alabamas Devonta Smith. Only a handful of tight ends (such as Logan Thomas, Dalton Schultz, and Robert Tonyan) saw meaningful playing time with a BMI that low. My dude had 65 catches, over 1,000 yards right out of the gate that led all rookies, and the same draft that had, . Please logout and login again. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation He only picked up two conversions on 9 throws with 3 yards or less to go for a first down, going 5-of-9 for 13 yards (10 of them on one play) and a touchdown. Allen collected 69 tackles with 16 for loss and secured first-team All-America recognition. [33] Smith was selected over finalists Kyle Trask, Trevor Lawrence and teammate Mac Jones to win the 2020 Heisman Trophy, becoming the first wide receiver to win the award since Desmond Howard in 1991 and only the fourth overall. 1st and 10: 12 yds (FD) That hassomeadvantage, at least from a visibility standpoint. ESPN's Todd McShay dropped a mock draft Thursday, projecting Miami to draft Smith with the No. College Football at Sports-Reference.com Blog and Articles. Chase won the Biletnikoff Award, which goes to the best receiver in college football, in 2019. This then results in a lot of third-and-longs and paired with a still not-great OL, negative-ALEX Kirk comes out. Ja'Marr Chase had an amazing sophomore season for the LSU Tigers. He was only stuffed three times, and two of them came with the Colts up by multiple scores in the second half. It's fair to think the Dolphins picked Waddle to be a gadget player, as Vince says, because that's the way they used him at first, but in recent weeks they've been letting him run intermediate routes and he's been doing fine. But watching him play last night he looked really good. He only had two dropbacks with more than 10 yards to go for a first down and he converted both of them, with a pair of 20-yard gains on first-and-15. Ja'Marr Chase. After poor coaching and injuries held them back as rookies, Lawrence and Etienne propelled the Jags to an AFC South crown in 2022. Similarly in his routes, he has slip and he's quicker than you think, always getting separation without stressing. 68.3 yards per game. Here they are, in the order they were drafted which means we aren't starting with a wide receiver at all. [48] He had seven receptions for 122 yards in a Week 4 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Listed at 6-foot-1, 175 pounds, Smith attended the 2021 Senior Bowl in Mobile, Ala., but did not get his official measurements taken. For ESPN NFL Draft expert Todd McShay, he prefers by ImNewAroundThe, In reply to Check comment 34 by HitchikersPie. In reply to Ah, yes, Josh Allen, right by Mike B. Both have vocal supporters as the draft's top receiver. [7][8][9], In the College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Orange Bowl, Smith had six receptions for 104 yards and one touchdown in the 4534 victory over Oklahoma. He is averaging only 4.1 yards after the catch, less than the 4.4-yard average of NFL wide receivers this year, and has 15 failed receptions, second among wideouts to the 19 of the Chargers' Keenan Allen. based on his interpretation of a player's posture has to be immediately placed in the pantheon of 'WTH?!' [54] In Week 16 against the Dallas Cowboys, he had eight receptions for 113 receiving yards and two touchdowns in the 4034 loss. With coaching staff in place, what's next for Carolina Panthers? And what about DYAR? Ironically, he caught all of the deep balls thrown his way, while his only incomplete target came on a throw to the sticks on third-and-6 in the second quarter. Waddle secured All-SEC recognition as a returner twice, catching 106 passes with a sizzling 18.9-yard average along the way. Do you have a blog? He told ESPN he would draft Chase in the top-5 if he had a reliable quarterback, and would draft Smith in the top-15. Do you have a sports website? The difference between Smith and Chase is that Devonta Smith will not be the number one wide receiver in Miami. No one else on the roster is. He has negative receiving DYAR because he fumbled at the end of a 20-yard gain. (hey someone had to do it). However, Pitts is fairly skinny for his height, with a BMI of 28.7. Explore sample content below to see what you're missing. Here were the results of the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft. If there's a downside to Moore, it's that he's no longer catching opponents off-guardhe had 11 catches for 182 yards (16.6 yards per catch) in Weeks 1 and 2, 23 catches for 170 yards (7.4 yards per catch)and exactly zero DYARin seven games since. That Waddle video should be a caution on thinking these numbers represent ability, talent, or even performance. It's fair to think the by Noahrk. I don't think Hurts is a franchise QB, but I'm glad Sirianni has finally started coaching for the QB he has instead of trying to make him into Phillip Rivers with better knees and fewer children. Per Stathead, only four other wide receivers have ever gained so little real estate with so much opportunity. He's 6-1, 205-to-210, so bigger than DeVonta. I think the "OL improvement" is mostly from Fields, though. Cousins had the best DYAR this week in the first quarter, when he completed all five of his passes for 71 yards and a touchdown. In reply to It's worth pointing out that by HitchikersPie, In reply to Defense gave him more opportunities? They're strictly about production. WebJa'Marr Anthony Chase (born March 1, 2000) is an American football wide receiver for the Cincinnati Bengals of the National Football League (NFL). Correct. Your login session has expired. But Chase chose not to play last year, and Smith weighs 166 pounds. 3rd and 3: 11 yds (FD) And it matters, because tight ends (especially at the time) ran different routes so they had different baselines. Smith won the Heisman trophy in 2020 and helped Alabama to a national title while Chase opted out of the season due to COVID-19. Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase already have amazing chemistry. Each of Mixon's 13 carries gained at least 1 yard. Similarly in his routes, he has slip and he's quicker than you think, always getting separation without stressing. Remember early in the year when it seemed like the Eagles' offense consisted entirely of RPOs and screens? There's no doubt that Pitts is the top rookie tight end this season; the only question is whether he can threaten any all-time records. It's worth pointing out that Cousins had zero sacks, to Lamar 3 for 13 yards lost, as well as Cousins having zero picks to Lamar's 2. Look at his body. By the way, he was cooking his rookie year. He's doing just fine, in other wordsfinishing with 200 or so DYAR and a DVOA around 5.0% would put him in rookie company with Bill Brooks and Ernest Givins in 1986, or Andre Johnson and Anquan Boldin in 2003. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Cincinnati advanced to the Super Bowl in 2021, a season in which Burrow won Comeback Player of the Year and Chase secured All-Pro recognition as a rookie. "I'm very curious how the league handles opt-out guys. He took a lot of hits and stayed healthy. The Chicago O-line also was holding up pretty well in pass pro which obviously helped. That's not a ton, but it does make his raw stats more impressive, because it means Pitts has been putting up big numbers against defenses that are slightly better than average in coverage against tight ends. He was uncoverable against top competition. In reply to Yup. You look at what Jefferson did [as a Minnesota Vikings rookie], it's scary thinking about how good Chase can be," Tannenbaum said. Analysts have Chase rated higher and being selected before Smith the majority of the time. Draft: 1st round, 5th overall of the 2021 NFL draft by the Cincinnati Bengals, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Monday, May 1, 6:49AM. Just look at Gaskin, he wasn't the second coming of Kalen Ballage just a year ago. WebLatest on WR Ja'Marr Chase including news, stats, videos, highlights and more on NFL.com Green aging, Ja'Marr Chase can walk in and step into the number one wide receiver role. White's last throw came late in the first quarter. 1. [11][12][13], On September 14, Smith had eight receptions for 136 receiving yards and two touchdowns in a 4723 victory over South Carolina. Those are 5 huge negatives on Lamar's play, so even if he had more total positive DYAR, those are some big negative DYAR plays counting against his total. It appears the consensus top two pass catchers are JaMarr Chase out of LSU and, He is 210 pounds and he has speed for days,, He averaged 21.2 yards per catch and I think his traits are a little bit better than, He carried it on his shoulders and he carried that Alabama team and offense to the national championship game.
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