This length of the Florida coast has an above average chance of a tropical system(s) making landfall during the 2021 hurricane season.The parts of the weather pattern highlighted in this write-up . This scale takes into account the effects of storm surge, coastal erosion, flooding, wind and economic damage, while the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind scale accounts for wind intensity only. Category 1 Hurricane Elsa roars across Caribbean; Florida in path early next week. Florida will once again be at risk for land-falling tropical systems this upcoming season, which begins in two months. The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor the two active systems in the Atlantic: Hurricane Grace and Tropical Storm Henri, which is expected to become a hurricane in the coming days. Already, the final month of the season has been busy. Some past hurricane seasons have been inactive but included at least one notable landfall. It is the third storm of the season to threaten the US coastline, potentially nearing the . Warnings are in place for the Florida Keys as Tropical Storm Fred is re-emerging along northern Cuba. AccuWeather meteorologists beganwarning that a tropical disturbance could form in the Caribbeanback in the middle of October, highlighting the potential dangers that the U.S. could face. The combination of Nicole's perpendicular track straight into the Florida Peninsula, a broad area of strong easterly winds from the Atlantic and the astronomical effects of the full moon will hit coastal areas hard from near West Palm Beach to St. Augustine and Jacksonville Beach, forecasters warn. Data shows the location and intensity of drought across the country. August 23, 2021, 11:20 PM. Around 80 named storm days, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes can be expected this year. Colorado State University scientists predicts there will be 17 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes in the 2021 hurricane season. Honolulu, HI 96822 Its opposing weather pattern is La Nia, which is caused by cooler waters in the central and eastern Pacific and in turn significantly limits Atlantic wind shear. The eastbound lanes of Bayshore Boulevard were more than four feet underwater. The Atlantic Hurricane Season 2021 has started more than 10 days before the official start on June 1st, Tropical Storm Ana formed in the Atlantic. National Hurricane Center Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross and Chief Certified Meteorologist Betty Davis take a close look at the disturbance that is moving toward the Caribbean islands and Florida. Specifically, AccuWeather is calling for a total ACE between 75 and 105 this year. predicts an above-normal storm season with 13 to 20 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes, AccuWeather calls for 16 to 20 named storms this year, 2021 hurricane forecast: 17 storms, 8 hurricanes, 4 major ones, NOAA is latest to forecast an active hurricane season in 2021, Seven hurricane myths that need to go away, Gear up and mask up before the storm hits, Heres how to keep your pets as safe as you, Click here to find your evacuation zone and shelter, Hurricane 2021: Medical advice for the storm, evacuation and pandemic | Column. Here's a guide to the percentage of power outages in each county. In the Gulf, forecasters said a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form . Current 2021 hurricane season outlooks from The Weather Company, Colorado State University and NOAA compared to a 1991-2020 average season. This forecast is above the 30-year average (1991 to 2020) of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. Over Puerto Rico, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches is expected late today into Saturday. An above average number of tropical storms and hurricanes is more likely if temperatures in the main development region (MDR) between Africa and the Caribbean Sea are warmer than average. We usually do not see the E storm, the fifth of the season, E (5th) storm of the season until around Aug. 31,he said. Image courtesy of the National Hurricane Center. Keep up with the latest hurricane watches and warnings with AccuWeather's Hurricane Center. The highest amount of rainfall will strongly depend on Freds track as it continues along the western Florida peninsula over the weekend. St Still, if this season is anything like last year . [Photo illustration by ASHLEY DYE | Times and Shutterstock]. The season this year remains nearly 3 weeks ahead of the schedule. The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season has been a bit of a roller coaster ride in terms of activity through the first two-plus months of the season. 12 storms on average. Follow the latest Atlantic tropical storm or hurricane path and projections. 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. there will be two other programs that counties can apply to . The closest, newest and weakest disturbance appeared on Saturday a few hundred miles south of Bermuda. Temperatures are ranging from around 27-29 C in the tropical Atlantic to around 30 C in the northwestern Caribbean around Cuba. Here are some questions and answers about what these outlooks mean. Tropical Storm Fred is the 6th tropical cyclone of the Atlantic Hurricane Season 2021 and will be the 4th landfalling system along the United States mainland coast. La Nia and El Nio make up two-thirds of the broader three-pronged recurring climate pattern known as the El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO). If youre in a well-built house, you can likely hide from the wind. Last year, there were 14 named storms, eight of which formed into hurricanes, two of which became major hurricanes. Wind shear can inhibit a tropical cyclone's formation, so when there is less wind shear in the atmosphere forecasters tend to predict a higher number of tropical systems to develop when issuing seasonal prognostications. The hyperactive 2020 season produced a record-setting number of named storms with 30, while it was followed by 21 more in the extremely busy 2021 season. The overall number of named storms was 14, which is average and a much lower number than what the prolific 2020 and 2021 seasons produced. It's mango season, baby! Despite the high number of storms that year, no hurricanes and only one tropical storm made landfall in the U.S. The non-tropical storm and the jet stream will either steer the center of the storm and keep it moving with the worst effects occurring just offshore of the northeastern U.S. and southeastern Canada, or it will capture Nicole and pull it more to the west. AccuWeather meteorologists expect this sprawling storm to take a turn and hit Floridas east coast as a hurricane later this week before it takes a run up the Eastern Seaboard. For 2021, a likely range of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher) is expected. Vertical wind shear causes thunderstorms and convective clouds within emerging tropical disturbances to be tilted, disrupting tropical development, Kottlowski explained. At . Officials in St. Vincent and the Grenadines closed schools, businesses and an international airport on Friday. Nicole followed the development of Lisa and Martin, making November notably more active than August, during which no tropical storms were named for only the third time on record. The above-normal activity will soon continue as another, 7th tropical storm is expected to form in the tropical Atlantic over the weekend. And three of those made landfall in the US territory, Danny, Claudette, and Elsa. An average value for any given season is between 80 and 130 ACE units. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis warned Florida residents on Friday to prepare for storm a "impact" in case a tropical depression forming south of the Dominican Republic grows into a hurricane. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting 7 to 11 feet of water above high tide. The 2012 season was memorable for the late-season landfall of Superstorm Sandy and its devastating effects in the mid-Atlantic, while 2018 was defined by the historic deluge unleashed on the Carolinas by Hurricane Florence and the intense force of Category 5 Hurricane Michael on the Florida Panhandle. Water crept up the steps and into homes on Shore Drive E in Oldsmar, and also in St. Petersburgs Shore Acres. A record 30 named storms formed in the 2020 hurricane season, 14 of which became hurricanes. Stiff east to northeast winds well ahead of Nicole, regardless of the exact track, will lead to long-duration above-normal tides, coastal flooding and beach erosion this week well to the north of Florida. Thats especially the case for Tampa-St. Petersburg, which is so, so prone to storm surge.. As is the custom of early season storms, the possible landfall of a low-end . La Nia ended early this year and ENSO-neutral conditions (neither El Nio nor La Nia) are present. With another eight hurricanes forecasted for 2021, its certainly possible that one or more will again find their way to the Sunshine State, Klotzbach said. The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is well underway, and atmospheric and oceanic conditions remain conducive for an above-average hurricane season, according to the annual mid-season update issued by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service.. ITS STORM SEASON: Get ready and stay informed at tampabay.com/hurricane, THE TRUTH IS OUT THERE: Seven hurricane myths that need to go away, BACK-UP YOUR DATA: Protect your data, documents and photos, BUILD YOUR HURRICANE KIT: Gear up and mask up before the storm hits, PROTECT YOUR PETS: Heres how to keep your pets as safe as you, NEED TO KNOW: Click here to find your evacuation zone and shelter. On Monday, Florida Gov. The Central North Pacific hurricane season runs from June 1st through . Much of eastern subtropical Atlantic is currently in moderate/strong marine heatwave. Sea surface temperature anomalies as of July 21, 2021. Most of Florida remains in . A tropical depression is likely to form over the next day, then the system is expected to reach portions of the Leeward Islands Saturday night and the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by Sunday. Hurricane Elsa strengthened significantly Friday morning, becoming the first hurricane of the 2021 season. Even if water temperatures are warm and there is little wind shear, dry air can still disrupt developing tropical cyclones and even prohibit their birth. About Us In June 2021, 54,188 visitors came to the island, and in July . Now a 65 % probability is forecast for a very active storms throughout the upcoming peak of the hurricane season, supported by both the returning La-Nina and very warm Atlantic waters. The largest and most dominant source of short-term tropical variability circles the Earth in about 30 to 60 days. The last storm felt in the region was in November, when Tropical Storm Eta made landfall at Cedar Key, just north of the bay area. Through the second half of August and early September, the hurricane season takes a higher gear with a steep increase in the tropical waves moving across the Atlantic, affecting both the Caribbean region and the United States. W-HFO.webmaster@noaa.gov, Disclaimer With the recent sea surface temperature anomaly analysis, we have found that the whole Atlantic Basin has anomalously warm waters. Click on each county to see the details. One or more of the named storms predicted to develop this season could hit the U.S., or none at all. Now a 65 % probability is forecast for a very active storms throughout the upcoming peak of the hurricane season, supported by both the returning La-Nina and very warm Atlantic waters. For 2021, Klotzbach said forecasts will grow more accurate the closer we get to July and the peak of hurricane season. 2023 AccuWeather, Inc. "AccuWeather" and sun design are registered trademarks of AccuWeather, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Since Nicole will push across the peninsula for 24-48 hours from Thursday to Friday, heavy rain will be unleashed. Get the Android Weather app from Google Play, Lawmakers set to vote on sealing DeSantis travel, New details in missing Largo attorneys murder case, Hidden gem: Penny Lane Beatles Museum in Dunedin, Speaker McCarthy touts U.S.-Israeli ties on trip, Spring Hill man accused of killing alligator with, 8OYS investigates: Contractor fund is not easy money, Womans Medicare cut off after gov. Fred would be the sixth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season. The strength of the African easterly jet usually plays a big role in the number of tropical waves that enter the Atlantic from Africa. Mallory is the 22nd UM tight end to be picked in the draft, and the first since the Houston Texans picked Brevin Jordan in 2021. A Rare August Tropical-Like Cyclone (Medicane alike) Will Form in the Black Sea this Weekend and Impact Coastal Areas with a Dangerous Flooding Threat, A Spectacular Satellite Presentation Of a Monster Category 4 Hurricane Linda, the 2nd Major Storm of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season 2021. If you want to plan the perfect spring picnic, food and drink are important, but its certainly not the only factor to consider. Such SSTs in August are also quite a typical sign when an active season follows. The first hurricane of the 2021 season, named Elsa, formed Friday morning (July 2), and is on track to impact islands in the Caribbean Sea and possibly Florida, according to the National Hurricane . This leads to strong tropical waves of thunderstorms that are being pushed west into the eastern Atlantic Ocean. A leading Atlantic forecast calls for 17 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes in 2021. According to the NHC, swells from Henri could reach much of the east coast of the U.S. and Atlantic Canada by the end of the week and continue through the weekend. They add that there is some risk of direct impacts from Henri in portions of the northeastern U.S. and Atlantic Canada. However, forecasters warn that uncertainty in the track forecast is larger than usual. The chart above, provided by Michael J. Ventrice, indicates the current MJO wave with filtered VP200 anomalies. This is above the 30-year average of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. The Atlantic hurricane season officially ends on Nov. 30, but the tropical activity may not stop at Nicole. Hurricane season 2022 is coming straight out of the blocks on Day 1 with a tropical threat to Florida. He's produced more offensively after a nice rebound season in 2021 . 4:22. Residents of southern Florida should be prepared for their second impact of the tropical system this season. The 2021 hurricane season is projected to surpass the "typical" year with as many as 17 named storms. A water level rise of several feet is likely near and well north of where the center of the storm moves inland. High winds and stormy seas will extend from the southeast of Bermuda to the northwestern Bahamas and the southeastern Atlantic coast of the United States and even into the eastern Gulf of Mexico from the middle to late parts of the week. As we learned, the MJO wave is known as the Madden-Julian Oscillation, a very important factor for cyclone formation in the tropical region. For this reason, a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued. There are no tropical cyclones in the Central North Pacific at this time. The unusually warm waters could once again provide the fuel necessary for a storm to intensify rapidly into a major hurricane. Fred was producing heavy rains across eastern Cuba and portions of the southeastern Bahamas on Friday, gradually re-emerging while moving back to the warm sea waters between Cuba and Florida. The 2021 Pacific hurricane season was a moderately active Pacific hurricane season, with above-average tropical activity in terms of named storms; but featured below-average activity in terms of major hurricanes and a near-normal accumulated cyclone energy (ACE). By Katie Sewell 15:17, Wed, Aug 11, 2021 | UPDATED: 15:19, Wed, Aug 11 . Information Quality That's well above the average of one to two hurricane landfalls each season, according to NOAA's Hurricane Research Division. tropical storm strength. Contributing: Rick Neale, USA TODAY Network; N'dea Yancey-Bragg, USA TODAY; The Associated Press. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Published May 27, 2021. These forecasts by both NOAA and CSU are based on the recent changes in the Pacific Ocean waters as La Nina will likely re-emerge this fall. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for: Henri, the eighth named storm of the hurricane season, formed south of Bermuda on Monday and is holding steady in strength over the western Atlantic but expected to become a hurricane in the coming days. Florida escaped the record-breaking 2020 storm season without a single hurricane making landfall along its 1,350 miles of coastline. For the seventh straight year, the Atlantic produced a pre-season storm, when Ana . But its better news than having La Nia, which was a big reason the end of the 2020 hurricane season was so active.. Track South Florida watches, warnings, evacuations, damage reports, and other news. It's impossible to know for certain if a U.S. hurricane strike will occur this season. AccuWeather predicts 15 inches of rain in Cuba and Florida from late in the weekend into early next week. This interactive map, which contains data from January 1950, pinpoints where a cyclone touched down and traces its path of destruction. South Florida is also in the seven-day cone. Homes are flooded on Salinas Beach after the passing of Hurricane Fiona in Salinas, Puerto Rico, Monday, Sept. 19, 2022. The watch means tropical storm conditions, including sustained winds of at . Waters were already warmer than average in the Gulf of Mexico as of late March and have played a big role in the active start to the severe weather year in the United States. The forecast also hints at the potential that about 7-10 hurricanes could develop with season, where 5 of those could become major (Category 3 or greater) hurricanes. It was a record hurricane season. W-HFO.webmaster@noaa.gov, Disclaimer The Sunshine State faces long-duration impacts from pounding surf, strong winds and torrential rain, and as a result, AccuWeather forecasters have rated Nicole a1 on the AccuWeather RealImpact Scale for Hurricanes. Current projections indicate that the 2023 season will be near the historical average with 11-15 named storms. Elsastrengthened into the first hurricane of the 2021 Atlanticstorm season onFridayas it battered the eastern Caribbean, where officials closed schools, businesses and airports. But stronger ones have the opposite effect and can guide storms closer to U.S. shores. coming up with 21 names in total. Mississippi continues to recover from Hurricane Ida, which hit in 2021 . Current projections indicate that the 2023 season will be near the historical average with 11-15 named storms. Area residents lost loved ones . Despite the record 2020 season, there isn't necessarily a strong correlation between the number of storms or hurricanes and U.S. landfalls in any given season. This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from May 15 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. Check out our new Learn Weather page linked below, containing information on all things related to weather in all the seasons! Ron DeSantis on Friday said he is putting together a potential emergency order as Elsa approaches, adding that id South Florida could see tropical-storm-force winds as soon as Sunday night. (MORE: Laura, Entire Greek Alphabet Retired Following 2020 Hurricane Season). It was a warning to Tampa Bay residents, Klotzbach said. Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. An El Nio pattern causes the winds at higher levels of the atmosphere to dip southward and deep into the tropics more frequently, resulting in more episodes of vertical wind shear. F irst, hurricane seasons can, and often do, roar to life in August, September or October even if they start very quietly. So far, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season with 19 named systems is the third most active behind 2020s record year and 2005. 3. At this early stage, there is the likelihood of flooding rainfall, damaging winds and power outages over the Florida Peninsula with perhaps the worst conditions along the Gulf Coast side. As for the year 2022, we are predicted to experience another "above-average hurricane season." with an expected average of. Issuance will resume on May 15th or as necessary. ***The images used in this article were provided by NOAA, and Windy. Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) A Tropical Storm Fred has gained direct support by these improving upper-level conditions, and those will also help to boost further development with the upcoming Tropical Storm Grace in the coming days. So what does 2023 have in store? Sustained winds were near 85 mph, making the storm a Category 1 hurricane, according to the 8p.m. EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center. An above-average hurricane season was forecasted for 2022. "This is a longer duration than typical tropical systems.". A warning he hopes residents will take seriously ahead of this years season. The CSU team is predicting 18 named storms (those include the first six storms) with the Atlantic hurricane season 2021. The most destructive hurricane season in modern history, which included hurricanes Katrina and Wilma, came under a neutral event in 2005. And it's not just hurricanes. Impacts could be severe along Floridas Atlantic coast and over the Florida Peninsula in general. Followed by a secondary boost in the activity happening through mid-October. This is extremely warm for mid-August. By Eleven of the . Location: Lat: 9.7 N Long: 156.5 E. The most dangerous parts are indeed landfalls of hurricanes to vulnerable coastal areas every year. Instead, Florida, Puerto Rico and South Carolina endured the worst of 2022, which included strikes from menacing tempests such as hurricanes Ian and Fiona in September then Nicole, which made a rare late-season landfall on Floridas east coast in November. Nicole will strengthen into a hurricane prior to making landfall along the central Florida coast early Thursday. Florida is in a scramble to re-energize the state as quickly as possible. Tagged as: 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, 2021 hurricane season, Cat bond, Catastrophe bond, ILS funds, insurance, Insurance linked securities, reinsurance, tropical storm Fred 2021 Fred heads for the 4th landfall of the tropical system in the U.S. mainland of this very active Atlantic hurricane season 2021. 'An unusually busy start' for hurricane season in Florida. Elsa would be the first major storm of this year's Atlantic hurricane season to hit Florida's mainland. *MJO wave is an eastward-moving wave that normally has a major influence on the state of the atmosphere which allows tropical storms or hurricanes to develop. Now is the time to create or update your plan.. After it tracks across the Sunshine State, it will take a run up the . The other two, Fred and upcoming Grace are marked in the Atlantic Basin. Warmer subtropics->weaker subtropical high->weaker trades->warmer tropical Atlantic pic.twitter.com/plIRSdfkLX. Sharks hunt prey there, but the ocean's 'twilight zone' may soon be go We have updated our Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Grace is expected to be the first hurricane of the 2021 season to make landfall. Fred will be the 4th cyclone to do so in Florida Keys this weekend. KILLER Storm Elsa has made landfall in Taylor County in Florida after a hurricane warning and a tornado watch and warning have been declared.Bringing. However, only six of these 12 tropical storms are usually intense enough to be classified as hurricanes. There are no tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific at this time. There have been three tropical storms so far this season, Anna, Bill and Claudette, which spawned tornadoes in East Brewton, Ala., that reached top speeds of 127 mph that left at least 14 people dead. When a region is overspread by a deep MJO wave, this normally develops a low wind shear environment and leads to more favorable conditions for tropical cyclone development. NWS Help US Dept of Commerce New Tornado Outbreak across the Mississippi Valley through Tuesday and Wednesday, How Weather Stations Have Revolutionized Meteorology: Insights into the Past, Present, and Future of Atmospheric Science. 8 hours ago 8:00 AM EDT, Thu Apr 20 2023. The blue colors support the tropical cyclone development, the red colors are the opposite. Not this again. Another key determinant in the locations where storms make landfall each year is an area of high pressure over the Atlantic known as the Bermuda Azores high. Will Mallory is the latest Miami Hurricanes tight end to reach the NFL. CNN . Map. The National Hurricane Center's Tropical Cyclone Reports contain comprehensive information on each tropical cyclone, including synoptic history, meteorological statistics, casualties and damages, and the post-analysis best track (six-hourly positions and intensities). Florida has been hit by 121 hurricanes and 37 major hurricanes since 1851 by far the most of any state. They're not expecting the same degree of storm . We are also projecting two to four direct impacts on the United States, including Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, said Senior Meteorologist and Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, who has been issuing forecasts for AccuWeather for over four decades. . Such water temperatures could lead to explosive and very dangerous tropical cyclones later during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season this fall. Sea surface temperatures in much of the Atlantic have cooled recently and are notably cooler than last year, so a repeat of 2020 is not anticipated. Tropical storm conditions will soon be develop across portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico once Grace strengthens further and arrives closer to the Caribbean region. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts an above-normal storm season with 13 to 20 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes in 2021. Kottlowski believes that there is a good chance for preseason development once again this year, due in large part to warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico and off the Southeast coast of the U.S., the locations where storms typically form in the late spring and early summer in the basin. A few of the factors that will influence the season include the expected transition to El Nio, sea surface temperatures in the tropical hotbeds of the Atlantic and the strength of a wind pattern over Africa known as the African easterly jet. But it will be days before either becomes something to worry about, according to the National Hurricane Centers forecast. 2023 AccuWeather, Inc. "AccuWeather" and sun design are registered trademarks of AccuWeather, Inc. All Rights Reserved. A general 4-8 inches of rain is forecast to fall near and north of the storm center with an AccuWeather Local StormMax of 15 inches. Note, that the emerging upper-level pattern is now strongly supportive of additional tropical development, lead by both the deep MJO wave aloft and much above normal warmth of the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea waters. 2525 Correa Rd A broad area of tropical-storm-force winds stretching to nearly three-quarters of a million square miles is likely with Nicole. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration In fact, 2021 is the 100th anniversary of the last hurricane to strike the region, the 1921 Tampa Bay Hurricane aka the 1921 Tarpon Springs Hurricane. El Nio/La Nia, the periodic warming/cooling of the equatorial eastern and central Pacific Ocean, can shift weather patterns and influence winds in the Atlantic Basin during hurricane season. A number of cameras are showing live feeds as storm approaches. In particular, the Atlantic hurricane season this year has become concerning as the odds are increasing that La Nina will re-emerge again this fall, and continue to support weather patterns leading to much above-normal activity and higher potential for US landfall remains, according to NOAA forecast. By the end of the week, forecasters predict Fred could affect the US state of Florida, potentially as a Category 1 hurricane. Elsa became the earliest E storm on record, beating out Edouard, which formed July 6, 2020. Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when yousubscribe to Premium+on theAccuWeather app. El Nio is a Pacific phenomenon that warms the waters there, creating strong wind shear over the tropical Atlantic that can disrupt storm formation. That luck has some scientists particularly worried about the 2021 season, however. AccuWeather long-range forecasters say the upcoming season, which starts on June 1, could likely be similar to the 2022 hurricane season. Besides the current tropical activity ramping up, the recent forecast update by NOAA calls for an even higher potential for an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season this year. 6-8 hurricanes. National Hurricane Center Expecting all the monitoring parameters likely being above average again this year. Very heavy rainfall with an increasing potential for an areal, urban, small stream, and exacerbated river flooding will develop across southern and central Florida into the Big Bend from today into Monday. One of the ingredients that meteorologists analyze going into the hurricane season is the water temperature of the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Keep track of the latest information on tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific with the USA TODAY Hurricane Tracker Sea-surface temperatures are generally close to average in the black box, indicating ENSO-neutral conditions.
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